Best Metaphor in a Political Science Paper
First, the voters are poorly informed, as so many have noted. But second—and here we part company with the consensus—citizens cannot perform sensible retrospective judgments at election time. They reward and punish for events no administration can control. Moreover, while they know how they feel at the moment, they lose all track of how they have felt over the course of the administration’s term in office. Like medical patients recalling colonoscopies, their assessments of past pain and pleasure are significantly biased by “duration neglect” (Kahneman 2000; Redelmeier, Katz, and Kahneman 2003).
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Geoffrey Allan Plauche - 4/23/2006
I found a pdf copy online, but it is a draft dating to 2004. Has this been published yet? Or is the draft the most recent version?
Geoffrey Allan Plauche - 4/21/2006
That's a great quote. Thanks for posting it. Could you also post the full citation? I think I could use it in my dissertation but don't know where to look for it.
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