Blogs > Liberty and Power > The Trouble With Economic Statistics

Apr 8, 2011

The Trouble With Economic Statistics




"If central bankers threw out all the data that was poorly measured, there would be very little information left on which to base their decisions."

- A former research director at the Fed, quoted by Bloomberg's Caroline Baum

It all started in Germany and was called the Methodenstreit (the clash over methods), an intellectual war over how the study of economics would be conducted - either by the logical deductive reasoning embodied by the"Austrian" school or by the mathematical methods embodied by those leading lights of the positivist German Historical School, such as Professor Gustav von Schmoller. The war ended in a complete victory for the latter and now, a century and a half on, the mathematical methods championed by Schmoller have swept the globe.

Click here to read the rest.



comments powered by Disqus

More Comments:


Mark Brady - 4/8/2011

Since Schmoller favored social reform under the auspices of the state, it's fair to say he was more into statistics than mathematics. As Adam Tooze explains in his seminal work, Statistics and the German State, 1900–1945: The Making of Modern Economic Knowledge, subsequent German economists built on the work of the German historical school and developed the system of national economic accounts that nation states use today.