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Nov 2, 2010 5:31 pm


Midterm Elections 2010: Last Days on the Campaign Trail... Election Day Arrives With GOP Set for House Victory



Midterm Elections

MIDTERM ELECTIONS 2010:

IN FOCUS: STATS

    HNN Hot Topics: Midterm Elections

  • Election night cheat sheet: Key races to watch: Get your last bits of election speculation and guessing out now — because starting Tuesday night we will have actual facts. People will vote. Candidates will win. Careers will end. Power in Washington will shift. There are 435 elections in the House, 37 in the Senate, and 37 gubernatorial elections. To help you sift through the returns, here's a reader and viewer's guide to some key things to watch.
    The official unemployment rate is 9.6 percent, though the true picture may be closer to 17 percent. In states with key races, the unemployment rate is worse: In Nevada it's 14.4 percent; in Ohio it's 10 percent. President Obama's approval rating is about 45 percent. The generic ballot shows voters picking Republicans over Democrats by seven points. The congressional approval rating is below 20 percent.... - Yahoo News, 11-2-10
  • Polls: Rubio holds wide lead in Senate race; governor race neck-and-neck: Two Florida polls have Marco Rubio well ahead of the pack in the U.S. Senate race. Quinnipiac University's final pre-election poll, which wrapped up Sunday night, shows Republican Marco Rubio with a 45-to-31 percent lead over indie Charlie Crist in the U.S. Senate race, with Democrat Kendrick Meek at 18 percent. Democratic firm Public Policy Polling, says Rubio is headed for"an easy victory" with 47 percent to 30 percent for Crist and 21 percent Meek.
    But both firms say the race for governor is too close to call. Quinnipiac gives Democrat Alex Sink a 44-to-33 percent lead over Republican Rick Scott; has Sink with a 48-to-47 percent lead. Both polls have a 3.5 percent margin of error.... - Palm Beach Post, 11-1-10
  • Ohio governor's race a close call, final polls show: Nearly every poll that weeks ago predicted an easy win for Republican challenger John Kasich over Gov. Ted Strickland is now declaring the race a toss-up as voters cast their ballots today in the closely watched race. That's good news for Democrat Strickland, who, despite his low job approval ratings, has closed the gap on Kasich, who has watched his once double-digit lead wilt."Ted Strickland's chances of re-election are looking the best they have in months," said Dean Debnam, president of Public Policy Polling, which gives Kasich a one-point edge. In late August, the same poll had the Republican up by 10 points.
    But even if the race is too close to call, the polls still have Kasich ahead of the incumbent, which is a good position to be in, according to another pollster."John Kasich has the historical tendency of undecided voters to break against well-known incumbents at the very end of a campaign," Peter Brown of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute said on Monday. Brown agreed, however, that momentum is with Strickland. Quinnipiac on Monday had Kasich leading by one point with about six percent of voters undecided. The same poll had Kasich leading by 17 percentage points in September and by 10 points just two weeks ago.... - Cleveland.com, 11-1-10
  • A Vote Against Dems, Not for the GOP: Voters don't want to be governed from the left, right or center. They want Washington to recognize that Americans want to govern themselves.
    In the first week of January 2010, Rasmussen Reports showed Republicans with a nine-point lead on the generic congressional ballot. Scott Brown delivered a stunning upset in the Massachusetts special U.S. Senate election a couple of weeks later. In the last week of October 2010, Rasmussen Reports again showed Republicans with a nine-point lead on the generic ballot. And tomorrow Republicans will send more Republicans to Congress than at any time in the past 80 years. This isn't a wave, it's a tidal shift—and we've seen it coming for a long time. Remarkably, there have been plenty of warning signs over the past two years, but Democratic leaders ignored them. At least the captain of the Titanic tried to miss the iceberg. Congressional Democrats aimed right for it.... - WSJ, 10-31-10
  • Democrats, GOP close in Nevada early votes: Nevada Democrats and their union allies appear to have blunted a surge of Republican enthusiasm in early voting, confirming a close race between Republican tea party favorite Sharron Angle and Majority Leader Harry Reid, figures showed Saturday. Two weeks of early voting that ended Friday provide only a barometer of turnout - it's far from conclusive with Election Day to come. The early numbers confirm Republicans are fired up to deny Reid a fifth term, but Democrats are getting to the polls in significant numbers, too. Statewide, Democrats hold about a 60,000-vote registration edge over the GOP, and the decisive factor on Nov. 2 is likely to be the state's independent voters.... - AP, 10-30-10
  • Early Voting Numbers in California: Close Races Ahead?: If early voting is an indication of how Tuesday's midterm elections will go--and it's debatable whether, and how, it can--early vote-by mail turnout in California predicts close races for Senate and governor. Here's a breakdown of who has voted already through the state's vote-by-mail program, provided to The Atlantic by a source close to the California Republican Party. By party registration, here's a who has mailed a ballot so far... - The Atlantic, 10-30-10

THE HEADLINES....MIDTERM ELECTIONS 2010

  • Voters cast ballots; Control of Congress at stake: The fate of the Democratic Congress was put before voters Tuesday in midterm elections that drew Americans to balloting stations starting before dawn, some clamoring for change, others digging in their heels against resurgent Republicans. Expectations took hold in both camps that the political order was in for a makeover in these anxious times.... - AP, 11-2-10
  • Republicans Poised to End Pelosi's Historic Reign: Two years after voters gave President Obama and Democrats a mandate to govern, angry voters appeared poised today to give Republicans control of the U.S. House of Representatives, leaving droves of incumbent Democrats without jobs. ABC News, 10-12-10
  • The Presidential Planner: After a weekend of campaigning in four states President Obama will spend Election eve behind-closed-doors at the White House today. In the morning, the President will receive the Presidential Daily Briefing and meet with senior advisors in the Oval Office, his regular daily briefings. Mr. Obama will spend the rest of the day in private meetings at the White House.... - ABC News, 11-2-10
  • Kentucky Race Tests Tea Party's Strength: Kentucky voters are casting their ballots in one of the nation's most closely watched Senate contests, which will determine the future of tea-party favorite Rand Paul. An election of Mr. Paul, a 47-year-old eye surgeon and Republican, would signal the movement's growing political influence, while a defeat to Democrat Jack Conway would mark a substantial setback for the conservative grass-roots effort."There is a tea-party tidal wave coming to Washington," he said to reporters after emerging from the polling station. He described the movement as"a bunch of people who are more concerned about the [national] debt than anything else."... - WSJ, 11-2-10
  • Reid, Angle make late push in marquee race - WaPo, 11-2-10
  • Bold Republicans bidding for control in Congress: Confident of major gains, Republicans challenged the Democrats' grip on power in Congress on Tuesday in midterm elections shadowed by recession and stirred by the rebellion of tea party conservatives. All 435 seats in the House were on the ballot, plus 37 in the Senate. An additional 37 governors' races gave Republicans ample opportunity for further gains halfway through President Barack Obama's term.
    "This is going to be a big day," House Republican leader John Boehner, in line to become speaker if the GOP wins the House, said after voting near his West Chester, Ohio, home. For those who think the government is spending too much and bailing out too many, he said,"This is their opportunity to be heard."
    The president gave a series of radio interviews pleading with Democratic supporters not to sit on the sidelines."I know things are still tough out there, but we finally have job growth again," he said in one."It is all at risk if people don't turn out and vote today."
    While the president's name was not on the ballot, his record and policies were. After nearly two years in power, he and congressional Democrats were saddled politically with ownership of an economy that was barely growing, 9.6 percent unemployment, a high rate of home foreclosures and personal bankruptcies, the residue of the worst recession since the 1930s....- AP,
  • Obama's response: President plans post-election press conference: With a Capitol Hill power shift believed to be in the making, Obama is expected to outline possible mid-course changes in the direction of his presidency. With Republicans expected to win control of the House in Tuesday's election, President Obama scheduled a press conference for Wednesday in what was expected to amount to a mid-course correction to deal with the power shift on Capitol Hill. Obama is expected to try to reach out to Republicans, who have campaigned against his economic stimulus plan, healthcare overhaul and other policies. But if the GOP gains seats in the House and Senate, as expected, heavy partisan conflict is anticipated, especially as the parties gear up for the 2012 reelection campaign."This election's going to be a referendum on Obama's policies," Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, chairman of the Republican Governors Assn., said on MSNBC on Tuesday."What is the president's response going to be?" Citing the GOP's pledge to cut spending aggressively, Barbour added:"Hopefully, the president is going to be willing to come forward and say, 'I recognize we have to do that; let's work together.'"... - LAT, 11-2-10
  • Obama Reaching Out to Voters by Radio: Voters may hear President Obama on the radio as they drive to the polls on Tuesday morning. Mr. Obama on Monday taped radio interviews with three morning drive-time hosts, Ryan Seacrest, Russ Parr and Steve Harvey, all of which will be broadcast on Tuesday. The three shows are syndicated to stations across the country, reaching millions of people, and Mr. Obama will be trying to encourage Democrats to vote. The booking with Mr. Seacrest drew some scrutiny since"On Air With Ryan Seacrest" is usually a fluffy entertainment show and Mr. Seacrest is the host of “American Idol.” The blog TVNewser noted that the show solicited questions from its Facebook fans, and the submissions included gems like"What do you think about Justin Bieber???"... - NYT, 11-2-10
  • Obama: Agenda 'all at risk' in any Republican romp: Even with voting already under way, President Barack Obama furiously worked the phones to urban-format radio stations Tuesday, arguing that his agenda would be"all at risk" if Republicans trampled Democrats."We need to keep moving forward, that's why I need folks to vote today," Obama told listeners to KPWR in Los Angeles. Interrupting the music and chat of the station's morning show, Obama phoned in from the Oval Office to acknowledge voter frustration with the recession-bound economy - and say that even though he's not on the ballot, his agenda is."Are we taking the steps now to move us in the right direction, or are going to go back to the policies that got us into that mess in the first place?" he said. Other calls went to radio stations in Las Vegas, Chicago and Jacksonville, Fla., with large African-American listenership. On Monday, Obama phoned a series of nationally syndicated radio programs.... - AP, 11-2-10
  • Democrats hope to retain Delaware Senate seat: Delaware Democrats are hoping their greater numbers will help them beat back tea-party fueled Republicans including Christine O’Donnell in a rare Democratic bright spot for the midterm elections. Democratic New Castle County executive Chris Coons and O’Donnell are battling in a special election Tuesday for the Senate seat held by Joe Biden for more than three decades before he became vice president. The winner will be seated immediately after the election and serve the remaining four years of the term Biden won in 2008, when he easily beat O’Donnell.... - AP, 11-2-10
  • Obama closes 2010 campaign season with stop in Cleveland: President Barack Obama closed out his midterm campaigning Sunday in Cleveland trying to push Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland past a GOP challenger backed by a restless electorate in a race with political implications beyond the Statehouse. Making his 12th visit to Ohio since becoming president - his second visit on behalf of the governor in two weeks - Obama urged thousands at Cleveland State University's Wolstein Center to vote in Tuesday's election and encourage others to do the same.
    "Cleveland, the journey we began two years ago was not about putting a president in the White House. It was about building a movement for change," he said."Cleveland, I need you to keep on fighting."... - The Cleveland Plain Dealer, 11-1-10
  • John Boehner fires back at President Obama at GOP rally in Cincinnati House Minority Leader whips up crowd for election Tuesday - and 2012: House Minority Leader John Boehner, at a rally of GOP volunteers Monday evening in a Lunken Airport hangar, gave President Barack Obama a taste of what he can expect if the West Chester Republican becomes the next speaker of the House.
    "The president has been here in Ohio a dozen times this year, and (Ohio Gov.) Ted Strickland thinks it is about him," Boehner told a crowd of over a thousand Southwest Ohio Republicans who came to Lunken to see him and John Kasich, the GOP candidate for governor, and Rob Portman, the GOP Senate candidate."It is not about him - this is about President Obama getting re-elected in two years," Boehner said.
    Boehner took a pointed shot at the president, who has been criticized in recent days by conservatives for an interview with Univision, the Spanish-speaking TV network, in which he used the word"enemies" to describe his political opponents. The White House clarified the statement Monday, saying he should have referred to them as"opponents." Boehner wasn't having any of it Monday night.
    "I have a word to describe these people who have the audacity to fight for our constitution, Mr. President," Boehner said."These people aren't enemies; they are patriots."... - cincinnati.com, 11-1-10
  • Winners Tuesday May Benefit From Economic Cycle: The impact of the anti-incumbency wave of 2010 — if, in fact, it materializes in the way that polls would indicate — will be judged in the next few days by the number of seats that change hands in Washington and in statehouses across the country. In the longer term, though, the importance of any wave election isn’t only about the sheer number of seats gained and lost, but also about when the wave hits—or, more specifically, where it falls in the economic cycles of the country. And if you look at it that way, history suggests that the expected big bang of 2010 may well end up reverberating loudly through our politics for a long time to come.... - NYT, 11-1-10
  • Appeals court extends life of gay military policy: A federal appeals court on Monday indefinitely extended its freeze on a judge's order halting enforcement of the military's"don't ask, don't tell" policy, heightening pressure on the Obama administration to persuade the U.S. Senate to repeal the law before a new Congress is sworn in. A divided three-judge panel of the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals granted the U.S. government's request for a stay while it challenges the trial court's ruling that the ban on openly gay service members is unconstitutional. The same panel, composed of two judges appointed by President Ronald Reagan and one appointed by President Bill Clinton, on Oct. 20 imposed a temporary hold keeping"don't ask, don't tell" in place.
    Monday's decision means gay Americans who disclose their sexual orientations still can't enlist in the armed forces and can be investigated and ultimately discharged if they already are serving.... - AP, 11-1-10
  • Obama as American Idol: president to be guest on Ryan Seacrest radio show: In a final bid to bring young voters to the polls, President Obama will join Ryan Seacrest's radio talk show on Election Day. President Obama chatted with Jon Stewart on Comedy Central's 'The Daily Show' as part of a bid to motivate young voters. On Election Day, he'll be a guest on Ryan Seacrest's radio talk show. Let's just say it's official: President Obama will do whatever it takes to reach that younger demographic that was so important to his 2008 election.
    On Monday, American idol and radio talk show host Ryan Seacrest announced that the commander-in-chief will appear live on his syndicated, daily radio talk show. It will air at 7:15 a.m. Pacific time – drive time – on Election Day. Mr. Seacrest tweeted to his fans to submit questions for the interview.
    The questions are currently piling up on the Facebook site and run the gamut from serious ones about the military policy of"don't ask, don't tell" to queries about Mr. Obama's favorite songs and other essential POTUS trivia. (That would be President Of The United States, for the uninitiated.) This fits in with a trend that began with Bill Clinton, says Travis Ridout, a political scientist at Washington State University in Pullman."He's clearly trying to bypass the filter of the traditional media to get his message directly to that younger demographic," he says."There really are no boundaries any more," says Washington-based digital strategist Brendan Kownacki.... - CS Monitor, 11-1-10
  • 'American Idol' host Ryan Seacrest to interview President Obama: The move draws disdain from the GOP, but the White House says that, in a new-media era, specialized programs are the best way to reach a variety of people.
    "I'm interviewing President @BarackObama and want to ask him YOUR questions, political & otherwise," Seacrest tweeted Monday. Such final appeals are not uncommon from candidates in the final hours before polls close, a time when turnout trumps persuasion. But Republicans mocked the news that Obama would speak with Seacrest in particular."Just when we thought lack of dignity in the Oval Office couldn't drop any lower," Republican National Committee spokesman Doug Heye said in an e-mail to reporters.... - LAT, 11-1-10
  • Palin endorses Tancredo in Colo. gov race: Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin has offered a last-minute endorsement to former U.S. Rep. Tom Tancredo in the Colorado governor's race. Palin urged voters Monday to support Tancredo - who is running on the American Constitution Party ticket - saying he will fight for lower taxes and smaller government, and start growing the economy.... - AP, 11-1-10
  • In closely watched races, campaigns hunt for votes: If the nation's most closely watched Senate race is a battle, the campaign offices and neighborhoods of recession- ravaged Nevada were the trenches on Monday in the final hours before Election Day. Volunteers at GOP offices made their best cold-call pitches: Help Sharron Angle beat U.S. Sen. Harry Reid. Democrats - one dressed as a chicken to mock Angle's refusal to take questions from the media - hurried from door to door, urging voters in a state hit hard by unemployment and the housing bust to give the Senate majority leader another chance. Last-minute and, at times, desperate get-out-the-vote drives picked up speed in the state and across the country, with some key races, like Reid-Angle, so close that they could be decided by just a couple votes per precinct.... - AP, 11-1-10
  • Lawyers Gear Up for Post-Election Fights: Political party lawyers are gearing up for what could be a heated post-election fight over the results of Tuesday's closest races. Multiple close races raise the possibility of inconclusive or disputed results of balloting, party operatives say, and allegations of impropriety flew in the final hours. The Justice Department, which investigates election crimes, said its Civil Rights Division plans to deploy more than 400 federal observers and department personnel to 30 jurisdictions in 18 states.
    The Democratic National Committee said it expects to deploy nearly 10,000 lawyers and other trained monitors as part of its"voter protection" effort. Joseph Sandler, a former Democratic National Committee general counsel who now represents state parties and candidates, said Democrats' efforts are bigger than in earlier midterm elections.
    "The reason is the number of close races," Mr. Sandler said."Every state has become a battleground state." The National Republican Senatorial Committee has sent out email fund-raising appeals with the headline:"Don't Let Them Steal This Election." Sen. John Cornyn of Texas, the committee's chairman, set a goal of raising $100,000 to help the party watch for irregularities and prepare for possible litigation.... - WSJ, 11-1-10
  • Clinton stumps for NY House Dems in tight races: Former President Bill Clinton campaigned Monday for a pair of House Democrats from New York, the latest evidence of political dedication to his adopted home state in the waning hours of the midterm elections. Clinton started the day at a rally with Rep. Scott Murphy, whom he praised for supporting local economic growth and President Barack Obama's controversial health care law. Murphy, who won the seat in a special election last year, faces a tough challenge from Republican Chris Gibson, a retired Army colonel.
    "He gets this. You have to choose the future," Clinton told a crowd of about 1,200 Murphy supporters."This isn't about right and left, this is about tomorrow versus yesterday."
    Later, Clinton was headed to Watertown to stump for Rep. Bill Owens, who like Murphy won his seat in a longtime Republican stronghold in a special election. Owens faces millionaire businessman Matt Doheny in a tight race.... - AP, 11-1-10
  • Candidates make final push in Alaska Senate race: Alaska's three main U.S. Senate candidates made their final cases to voters Monday, with high-profile surrogates also weighing in on the hotly contested race that might remain in limbo well after Election Day. Financial disclosures show a flurry of last-minute spending on the race, including from Tea Party Express, which had maintained a relatively low profile since helping Joe Miller defeat Sen. Lisa Murkowski in the August GOP primary. Alaska Native corporations have spent nearly $1.3 million through their PAC to help Murkowski, who's running a write- in campaign. And the millions of dollars poured into the race - by the candidates and outside groups - have kept ads on the air seemingly nonstop. Then there are the big names: former President Bill Clinton did a robocall for Democrat Scott McAdams, and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, the 2008 GOP vice presidential candidate, maintained a vigilant attack on Murkowski on Miller's behalf.... - AP, 11-1-10
  • Time Off to Vote: Employer Responsibilities: November 2 is Election Day, and employees of all political stripes may be taking a bit of time off work to vote. Employers of all sizes and stripes should be sure they know the law regarding this duty and right. The laws of nearly every state allow time off from work to vote, but whether or not other benefits such as paid time off are included, vary from state to state.
    Some laws place more responsibility on the employers, some place equal responsibility on employees regarding time off to vote. In some states, the employee has certain requirements they must meet to take advantage of time off to vote. Some jurisdictions ask that employees show proof they voted, or give advance notice that they will require time off to vote. Some states allow employers to set the time that employees may take to vote. To check on the specific requirements where your business is located, your state labor department website is a good resource for time off for voting rules in each state. The amount of time off that must be given to an employee can depend on their schedule and might permit the employer to not give additional time off for voting. For example, if an employee has two or three consecutive hours off while the polls are open, or otherwise has enough time to vote before or after work, an employer may not have to let the employee take time to vote during work hours.... - Reuters, 11-1-10
  • Sarah Palin and Jon Stewart agree on this: News media are bad influence: The media are berated as 'corrupt' (per Sarah Palin) and as a 'conflictinator' (per Jon Stewart). Is it a case of shooting the messenger, or did news media miss the mark in Election 2010? A familiar bogeyman leapt back into the news this weekend – the media itself. Tarring of the media and its election coverage came from Fox News commentator Sarah Palin, who called a team of Alaskan TV newsfolk" corrupt bastards," as well as Comedy Central's Jon Stewart, who closed his Saturday rally on the Washington Mall by saying the 24-hour news and media machine was"broke." He coined a new term of derision for it:" conflictinator."
    Even the nonpartisan Wesleyan Media Project added some fuel to the critique: This election cycle has the most negative political ads ever, with more than half being pure attack ads, according to its new data released Monday. Many campaigns count on the far-out content to propel the ads into the media spotlight.
    In the wake of such a barrage, Sunday's news talk shows had a field day of self-dissection. On NBC's"Hardball with Chris Matthews," the host parried with columnist and Huffington Post founder Ariana Huffington in a high-pitched – if friendly – frenzy of proposed solutions. She called for no more demonizing by media personalities; he laughed at the idea that people should not argue. And The New York Times ran an op-ed piece chiding Mr. Stewart for berating the messenger rather than the message.... - CS Monitor, 11-1-10
  • Michelle Obama tells Nevada 'my husband can't do this alone' As the headliner at a rally for Sen. Harry Reid, Obama asks voters to heed the spirit of the 2008 campaign, which 'was about building a movement for change.' LAT, 11-1-10
  • At Rally, Thousands — Billions? — Respond: Part circus, part satire, part parade, the crowds that flooded the National Mall Saturday for Jon Stewart and Stephen Colbert’s Rally to Restore Sanity and/or Fear made it a political event like no other. It was a Democratic rally without a Democratic politician, featuring instead two political satirists, Mr. Stewart and Mr. Colbert, who used the stage to rib journalists and fear-mongering politicians, and to argue with each other over the songs"Peace Train" and"Crazy Train."
    Though at no point during the show did either man plug a candidate, a strong current of political engagement coursed through the crowd, which stretched several long blocks west of the Capitol, an overwhelming response to a call by Mr. Stewart on his"Daily Show." The turnout clogged traffic and filled subway trains and buses to overflow. The event, sponsored by Viacom’s Comedy Central network and televised live, was viewed by many in the crowd as a counterweight to Restoring Honor, a rally led by the Fox News Channel host Glenn Beck near the Lincoln Memorial two months ago. Some participants staged a protest near a Fox News satellite truck.
    The National Park Service did not offer a formal crowd estimate. But Judy McGrath, the chief executive of Viacom’s MTV Networks unit, said she had been told by the Parks Service that there were"well over 200,000 people” at the rally. Mr. Colbert offered his own guess in a Twitter message:"Early estimate of crowd size at rally: 6 billion."... - NYT, 10-31-10
  • Facing G.O.P. Gain, Democrats Fight to Retain Senate: The battle for control of Congress rolled into a frenetic final weekend as Democrats fought to preserve the Senate as their power center on Capitol Hill, trying to hold off a Republican surge that could reshape the political order in Washington. With Republicans in a strong position to capture the House, President Obama on Saturday opened a four-state weekend swing here to rally support for Senate candidates in Connecticut, Illinois, Ohio and Pennsylvania, hoping to build a critical firewall to protect the party’s Senate majority from Republican gains across the country. Republicans intensified their efforts to capitalize on a favorable political environment, with Sarah Palin making a last-minute trip to West Virginia to ask voters to elect a Republican for the Democratic seat Senator Robert C. Byrd held for 51 years. The outcome of five contests considered tossups will help determine if Democrats retain control of the Senate, according to the latest analysis of races by The New York Times, with Republicans trying to capture Democratic-held seats in Colorado, Illinois, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Washington. Should they sweep those, they would still need to triumph in a state like California or West Virginia, where Democratic chances seemed to be improving.... - NYT, 10-31-10
  • In Ads, Candidates Make Their Final Pitches to Voters: Sharron Angle, the Republican candidate for Senate in Nevada, wants the state’s voters to know that Harry Reid had his chance, but it’s her turn now. This is the final pitch Ms. Angle makes in a political ad released Thursday and titled"Our Turn," which argues that two years ago, Democrats “promised change—but they delivered unprecedented spending, overwhelming debt, heartbreaking job loss,” and a laundry list of other economic woes."They promised change," the ad concludes."Now, it’s our turn." With Election Day on Tuesday, candidates across the nation are turning to political ads to make their closing arguments — often a last-ditch plea to win over voters by either reintroducing themselves , tearing down their opponent one last time , or something in between. And this year, both Democrats and Republicans are trying to harness the anti-Washington sentiment to push different versions of the same theme: That the nation’s capital must change, and with their independent voice and close ties to their home state, the candidate currently approving this ad is just the person for the job. NYT, 10-31-10
  • Republicans Deny Giving Up Hope on Miller as Polls Show Nominee Slipping: Republicans stood by Alaska Senate candidate Joe Miller Sunday, denying a claim that the party had given up hope that he can beat write-in candidate Lisa Murkowski, as polls show the GOP nominee slipping. Murkowski, the incumbent senator, launched a write-in campaign after losing to Miller in the Republican primary. Such campaigns are rarely successful in part because the names of write-in candidates do not show up on the ballot -- the state Supreme Court ruled Friday, though, that the write-in list could be provided in limited cases on Election Day.... - Fox News, 10-31-10
  • Nev. Senate race converges in state capital: Nevada's hotly contested Senate race had rivals Harry Reid and Sharron Angle serving flapjacks, petting dogs and shaking hands as they worked for last-minute votes during Nevada's statehood celebration. The Nevada Day Parade, part of three-day state holiday, is one politicians rarely miss, especially in an election year. Reid, the Democratic majority leader, strolled the back streets before the festivities began Saturday, talking to entrants as they assembled. He watched the parade from along Carson City's main drag. Polls have consistently shown the race too close to call.... - AP, 10-31-10
  • 'Sanity' rally draws tens of thousands: Tens of thousands of people turned out on the sun-splashed National Mall on Saturday to hear comedian Jon Stewart proclaim"reasonableness" as the norm in American life and to jab the cable news media for being purveyors of fear and division.
    "The country's 24-hour politico-pundit-perpetual-panic conflictinator did not cause our problems, but its existence makes solving them that much harder," said Stewart in a speech that wrapped up the event. The three-hour"Rally to Restore Sanity and/or Fear" mixed comedy and music with a message that was non-partisan, yet deeply political.... - USA Today, 10-30-10
  • Obama fires up voters at Chicago rally: President Barack Obama is telling supporters to go to the polls themselves and get others there as well. He's firing up thousands of people gathered in Chicago on Saturday night just a few blocks from his home in the city for a get-out-the-vote rally. He asked the cheering crowd if they were fired up. He says people have to go to the polls so Democrats can finish what they started in 2008. He said at the rally people need to get others out to the polls too. And he said if everyone who fought for change to elect him comes out to the polls on Tuesday, then Democrats will win. Chicago was Obama's third stop in a day of campaigning as he tries to fend off Republicans trying to win his former Senate seat and the Illinois governor's mansion.... - AP, 10-30-10
  • Clinton to campaign for Meek on election-eve: Former President Bill Clinton will factor into Florida's Senate race one more time with an election-eve visit to Orlando for Democratic nominee Kendrick Meek. When Clinton last visited the state, he and Meek discussed the possibility of Meek dropping out of the race to give independent candidate Charlie Crist a better chance of defeating Republican frontrunner Marco Rubio.
    Meek and Clinton both say the former president never urged Meek to withdraw. Meek says Clinton was discussing rumors pushed by Crist and he said Crist asked him directly to drop out a few days ago when the two crossed paths at an AIPAC conference in Broward County.... - Palm Beach Post, 10-
  • Obama deals with protests in Connecticut: President Obama, who is having a hard enough time with the Republicans this election season, had to deal with putative supporters today in Connecticut. As Obama launched into his stump speech at an arena in Bridgeport, a group of protesters began heckling him over funding for the global fight against AIDS.
    "Excuse me ... excuse me," an irritated looking Obama said before he could finally talk over the shouting."You've been appearing at every rally we've been doing. And we're funding global AIDS (prevention). And the other side is not. So I don't know why you think this is a useful strategy to take." USA Today, 10-30-10
  • Sarah Palin to Joe Manchin: Stay in W.Va.: On a last-minute visit for Republican John Raese's Senate campaign, Sarah Palin said Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin is a"nice guy" who's better off sticking with his current gig."He's such a nice governor, I think that 'Manchin in the mansion' just kind of fits," Palin to the crowd at a rally for Raese, gesturing to the governor's official home just down the riverfront street. It was the only time Palin uttered Manchin's name during her appearance. Instead, she told the crowd that she preferred to call him the"would-be rubber-stamp" for President Barack Obama. Palin's visit was finalized at the last minute, less than 24 hours before she took the stage with Raese and rock guitarist Ted Nugent — and three days before the bulk of voters will head to the polls.... - Politico, 10-30-10
  • Palin: Vote for Raese, leave Manchin as governor: Sarah Palin says Democrat Joe Manchin is a good governor — but she says West Virginia voters should keep him in the governor's mansion and out of the U.S. Senate. Palin, the former governor of Alaska and one-time vice presidential candidate, was in Charleston on Saturday to support Republican John Raese (RAY'-see)'s Senate bid. She drew cheers when she said Manchin was a better fit as governor.... - AP, 10-30-10
  • Ohio congressman leaves rally as wife gives birth: Ohio Rep. John Boccieri ran offstage Saturday during a speech by Bill Clinton after the congressman received word that his pregnant wife had gone into labor. Boccieri quickly left the podium Saturday afternoon while the former president addressed a crowd of about 1,000 people in Canton, about an hour south of Cleveland."The baby is now being born!" Clinton announced as the crowd erupted with cheers."You'd be amazed how many times I take a picture with a very pregnant woman and then she immediately gives birth." Addressing both sets of grandparents, who were among the crowd standing in the parking lot, Clinton joked:"I'd like some credit for your fifth grandchild being brought into the world." Clinton couldn't resist one more wisecrack before continuing his speech."We got another Democrat," he said."I wish we could register that baby before it's too late."... - AP, 10-30-10
  • Fiorina goes Boxer-bashing at Halloween-themed candy store; she, Whitman say they'll prove polls wrong: Standing in a Halloween-decorated Menlo Park candy store Friday amid a mad scientist display, a jar of brains and big fuzzy spiders, Republican U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina portrayed Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer as the real goblin in this race.
    "No, Barbara Boxer, the stimulus bill hasn't worked," said Fiorina, the former Hewlett-Packard CEO, during a short visit to the Sugar Shack to highlight the importance of women-owned small businesses."No, your policies of bailing, borrowing, spending, taxing are not working either."
    Asked about a new Field Poll that shows her trailing Boxer 49 percent to 41 percent -- and among women by 15 percentage points -- Fiorina called the statewide poll"an outlier" compared with several others that show the race is"very, very tight" and"very, very winnable." But a recent Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California poll also gave Boxer an eight-point advantage, and a Public Policy Institute of California poll put Boxer ahead by five points. An average of multiple polls at realclearpolitics.com gives Boxer an edge of 6.5 percentage points.... - Mercury News, 10-30-10
  • None of the above looms large in Nevada Senate: Choosing"none of the above," the default option on quizzes, is looming as a potential factor in the dead-heat Nevada Senate race for voters who don't like either Democrat Harry Reid or Republican Sharron Angle. Voters in the Silver State have nine choices on the ballot next week — eight are candidates, including Reid and Angle. The number of voters who choose"None of these candidates" is expected to be small, but in a close race those who decide to boycott the ballot could make the difference. Reid knows the risk: A dozen years ago he pulled off a 428-vote re-election victory over then-Republican Rep. John Ensign, while"none" received 8,125 votes, far more than his winning margin.... - AP, 10-29-10
  • Palin, US State Department in Twitter duel: A tongue-in-cheek US birthday message to Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad over Twitter may not have reached the intended recipient, but triggered a rebuke from someone else -- Sarah Palin. State Department spokesman Philip Crowley, learning from reporters that Ahmadinejad celebrated turned 54 on Thursday, took to the micro-blogging service to ask him to release two US hikers detained in Iran since last year.
    "Happy birthday President Ahmadinejad. Celebrate by sending Josh Fattal and Shane Bauer home. What a gift that would be," Crowley tweeted."Your 54th year was full of lost opportunities. Hope in your 55th year you will open Iran to a different relationship with the world," read another tweet.
    Palin, the Republican Party's 2008 candidate for vice president who enjoys a following among conservatives, was not amused."Happy B'day Ahmadinejad wish sent by US Govt. Mind boggling foreign policy: kowtow (and) coddle enemies; snub allies. Obama Doctrine is nonsense," she wrote in her own message on Twitter. Palin highlighted Ahmadinejad's past calls for the destruction of Israel..... - AFP, 10-29-10

POLITICAL QUOTES

  • Upstairs at the White House, Obama says he gets no 'Mr. President' greeting from first lady: His party's having trouble at the polls. But is President Barack Obama also having a spot of trouble at home? Calling in to the morning show at KVEG radio in Las Vegas, hoping to boost Democratic turnout at the polls Tuesday, Obama was asked by the host how his wife, Michelle, addresses him in the White House residence."Is it Mr. President?" he was asked."That would be no," Obama deadpanned."She calls me names sometimes, but it's not Mr. President."... - LAT, 11-2-10
  • GOP Leaders: Sarah Palin Must be Stopped: Last night, Politico posted an anonymously-sourced story reporting that advisers to top potential 2012 Republican presidential candidates are united in their desire to stop Sarah Palin from winning the presidential nomination out of a fear that she would lose badly in the general election."There is a determined, focused establishment effort ... to find a candidate we can coalesce around who can beat Sarah Palin," someone described as a"prominent and longtime Washington Republican" told Politico."We believe she could get the nomination, but Barack Obama would crush her."
    Palin quickly responded to the story on Fox News'"On the Record" last night, criticizing the use of anonymous sources and stating,"The paper that we just printed this article on was not worth even wrapping my king salmon in.""This is a joke to have unnamed sources tearing somebody apart limb by limb," said Palin. She also lit into those quoted, telling Greta Van Susteren they"want to lead the nation and run the world" and yet"they're not brave enough to put their name in an article." She called them"the GOP the establishment -- the self- proclaimed elite" and added that"if they would man up and if they would, you know, make these claims against me, then I can debate them."
    Palin has now sarcastically referred to Politico and other detractors"puppy-kicking, chain-smoking porn producers" in an email to the Daily Caller. She reportedly wrote:"I suppose I could play their immature, unprofessional, waste-of-time game, too, by claiming these reporters and politicos are homophobe, child molesting, tax evading, anti-dentite, puppy-kicking, chain smoking porn producers...really, they are... I've seen it myself...but I'll only give you the information off-the- record, on deep, deep background; attribute these 'facts' to an 'anonymous source' and I'll give you more."... - CBS News, 11-1-10 -- Politico, 11-1-10
  • Obama pulls back on 'enemies' remark to Latinos: A day before the pivotal midterm elections, President Barack Obama pulled back from remarks he made last month when he called on Latino voters to punish their"enemies" on Election Day. In an interview Monday with radio host Michael Baisden, Obama said he should have used the word"opponents" instead of enemies.
    Republicans were quick to criticize the president's remarks. House Minority Leader John Boehner was expected to use Obama's words in an election eve speech in Ohio to paint the president as a staunch partisan."Sadly, we have a president who uses the word 'enemy' for fellow Americans, fellow citizens. He used it for people who disagree with his agenda of bigger government," Boehner said, according to prepared remarks released in advance of his speech.
    Obama's original comments came during an interview with Eddie"Piolin" Sotelo, a Hispanic radio personality. Piolin questioned how Obama could ask Latinos for their vote when many don't believe he's worked hard to pass comprehensive immigration reform. Obama responded:"If Latinos sit out the election instead of saying, 'We're gonna punish our enemies and we're gonna reward our friends who stand with us on issues that are important to us,' if they don't see that kind of upsurge in voting in this election, then I think it's gonna be harder."
    The president said Monday that the message he was trying to send was that voters need to support lawmakers who stand with them on the issue."Now the Republicans are saying that I'm calling them enemies," Obama said."What I'm saying is you're an opponent of this particular provision, comprehensive immigration reform, which is something very different."... - AP, 11-1-10
  • Palin: News Station Trying to"Make Up" Stories: Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin Says Anchorage Station KTVA Conspired to Make Up Stories About Senate Candidate Joe Miller
    Sunday on Fox News, Palin said a cell phone recording shows two of the reporters were trying to discredit the Miller campaign.
    "It was revealed and we have the tape that proves it, that the CBS reporters, the affiliate in Alaska, conspired to make up stories about Joe Miller," said Palin on Fox News."We have the tape, [Host] Chris [Wallace], that proves it and I can't wait till it busts out all over the nation."... - CBS News, 10-31-10
  • Sarah Palin would 'make the sacrifices' and run for president: The former governor of Alaska predicts Tuesday's vote will serve as a rebuke to President Obama as well as the GOP establishment. Obama exhorts Democrats in Cleveland to answer a 'cocky' GOP.
    Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin predicted that Tuesday's midterm elections would bring a"political earthquake" to the country and reiterated her willingness to make the personal sacrifices necessary to run for president in 2012. Speaking on"Fox News Sunday," the 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee said the message from voters this year would serve as an indictment of the current administration.
    "They're going to say, 'You blew it, President Obama. We gave you the two years to fulfill your promise of making sure that our economy starts roaring back to life again.' And instead I believe things are getting worse," Palin said.
    The election results also will deliver a stinging rebuke to the Republican establishment from the"tea party" movement, she warned.
    "Those within the establishment who have kind of perpetuated the problem by going along just to get along, including some who've been wishy-washy on the Obama-Pelosi-Reid agenda — the message sent to them is 'No more,'" Palin said.
    She was more equivocal about her own political future, saying:"I love the freedom that I have, that I can sit here and I can tell you anything that I want to tell you and not have to worry so much about how it will affect my future political career, or my relationship with senators or congressmen."
    But while acknowledging she was enjoying private life, the former governor hastened to clarify that she would be happy to step back into public life.
    "You know, the country is worth it, though, to make those sacrifices, when we talk about making money today, having a lot of fun today, having all this freedom," she said."If the country needed me — and I'm not saying that the country does and that the country would ever necessarily want to choose me over anyone else, but I would be willing to make the sacrifices if need be for America."... - LAT, 10-31-10
  • Rally to Shift the Blame: In his new role as a political leader, which is what you call somebody if he hosts a rally on the Washington Mall for over 200,000 people, Jon Stewart was a little hemmed at the Rally to Restore Sanity on Saturday. Because sanity should know no party, partisan rhetoric was not on the teleprompter.
    At his rally, Jon Stewart said cable news “did not cause our problems,” but it"makes solving them that much harder." So instead the host of"The Daily Show" took steady aim on the one American institution that everyone can agree to hate: The Media. Within the first minute of his deft, very articulate stump speech at the end of the rally, Mr. Stewart turned his gun sights on the, um, fake news, which he called,"the country’s 24-hour political pundit perpetual panic conflictinator," which, he added,"did not cause our problems, but its existence makes solving them that much harder.""The press can hold its magnifying glass up to our problems bringing them into focus, illuminating issues heretofore unseen or they can use that magnifying glass to light ants on fire and then perhaps host a week of shows on the sudden, unexpected dangerous, flaming ant epidemic," he said, to roars of approval from the crowd."We work together to get things done every damn day! The only place we don’t is here," he said, gesturing toward the Capitol,"or on cable TV."... - NYT, 10-31-10
  • In radio address, Obama urges party unity after election: Whatever the outcome of Tuesday’s election, it’s time to put aside partisanship, President Obama is telling Democrats and Republicans. Yet his appeal for unity includes a jab at GOP leaders in the House and Senate for comments that the president said were troubling.
    House minority leader John Boehner of Ohio"actually said that ‘this is not the time for compromise,'" Obama said yesterday in his weekly radio and Internet address. The president added that Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky"said his main goal after this election is simply to win the next one."... - Boston Globe, 10-31-10
  • Obama warns of progress reversal if GOP wins: President Barack Obama implored voters on Saturday to resist a Republican tide, warning that if the GOP prevails in Tuesday's midterm elections all the progress of his first two years in office" can be rolled back." That would be just fine, said Rep. John Boehner, in line to become the new speaker if Republicans take the House, as expected. He declared,"Americans are demanding a new way forward in Washington." Embarking on a four-state weekend campaign dash, Obama acknowledged the difficulties Democrats face — the distinct chance of losing their comfortable majority in the House and possibly the Senate, as well as several governors' seats. All four weekend stops are in states Obama carried in 2008 — Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Illinois and Ohio. But Democratic candidates for the Senate, House and governorships are struggling in these places and elsewhere, and Obama is making a last-ditch plea for the party's core supporters not to abandon them."It is difficult here in Pennsylvania, it is difficult all across the country," Obama told several hundred campaign volunteers at Temple University in Philadelphia, a Democratic-leaning city he has visited often. The weekend tour marks the president's last campaign swing of the campaign season, with Republicans expecting big victories on Tuesday. Obama's sagging popularity has limited his ability to save Democratic candidates, and his legislative agenda may be deeply complicated if the GOP takes over the House, as many expect.... - AP, 10-30-10
  • Weekly Address: President Obama Calls on GOP Leadership to Put Aside Partisan Politics and Focus on Strengthening the Economy
    Remarks of President Barack Obama As Prepared for Delivery The White House October 30, 2010:
    Tuesday is Election Day, and here in Washington, the talk is all about who will win and who will lose – about parties and politics.
    But around kitchen tables, I’m pretty sure you’re talking about other things: about your family finances, or maybe the state of the economy in your hometown; about your kids, and what their futures will bring. And your hope is that once this election is over, the folks you choose to represent you will put the politics aside for a while, and work together to solve problems. That’s my hope, too....
    That’s why I found the recent comments by the top two Republican in Congress so troubling. The Republican leader of the House actually said that"this is not the time for compromise." And the Republican leader of the Senate said his main goal after this election is simply to win the next one.
    I know that we’re in the final days of a campaign. So it’s not surprising that we’re seeing this heated rhetoric. That’s politics. But when the ballots are cast and the voting is done, we need to put this kind of partisanship aside – win, lose, or draw.
    In the end, it comes down to a simple choice. We can spend the next two years arguing with one another, trapped in stale debates, mired in gridlock, unable to make progress in solving the serious problems facing our country. We can stand still while our competitors – like China and others around the world – try to pass us by, making the critical decisions that will allow them to gain an edge in new industries.
    Or we can do what the American people are demanding that we do. We can move forward. We can promote new jobs and businesses by harnessing the talents and ingenuity of our people. We can take the necessary steps to help the next generation – instead of just worrying about the next election. We can live up to an allegiance far stronger than our membership in any political party. And that’s the allegiance we hold to our country. - WH, 10-30-10
  • President Obama:"A Credible Terrorist Threat Against Our Country, and the Actions That We're Taking": Good afternoon, everybody. I want to briefly update the American people on a credible terrorist threat against our country, and the actions that we're taking with our friends and our partners to respond to it.
    Last night and earlier today, our intelligence and law enforcement professionals, working with our friends and allies, identified two suspicious packages bound for the United States -- specifically, two places of Jewish worship in Chicago. Those packages had been located in Dubai and East Midlands Airport in the United Kingdom. An initial examination of those packages has determined that they do apparently contain explosive material.
    I was alerted to this threat last night by my top counterterrorism advisor, John Brennan. I directed the Department of Homeland Security and all our law enforcement and intelligence agencies to take whatever steps are necessary to protect our citizens from this type of attack. Those measures led to additional screening of some planes in Newark and Philadelphia.... - WH, 10-29-10
  • Ten Questions for Jeb Bush: Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush sat down at his Miami office with John Harwood of The New York Times and CNBC to discuss President Obama’s leadership, Republican presidential politics, and the Senate campaign of his successor, Gov. Charlie Crist. An edited transcript of their conversation.... - NYT, 10-29-10
  • Obama Says Packages Bound for U.S. Contained Explosives: Two packages containing explosive devices originating in Yemen and addressed to two places of Jewish worship in Chicago were intercepted in Dubai and Britain, setting off a global terror alert, President Obama said at the White House on Friday. The president called the packages a" credible threat," prompting searches of cargo planes landing at Philadelphia and Newark and a delivery truck in Brooklyn, and a military escort for an inbound passenger flight. No explosive packages were found to have reached the United States.... - NYT, 10-29-10

HISTORIANS & ANALYSTS' COMMENTS

  • Tevi Troy: Troy responds: Bewitching hour for campaign craziness?: Elections seem more important than ever because our electorate is so closely divided. As a result, control of Congress is far more likely to change hands in each election than it was in the decades before the GOP takeover of 1994. The policy impact of such changes in Congress is what keeps bringing the intensity to higher and higher levels.... - The Arena at Politico.com, 11-2-10
  • Leading article: President Obama still offers change we can believe in: It is hard to find an American with a good word to say about Barack Obama at the moment. The President is denounced by his progressive supporters for being insufficiently liberal. He is attacked by the libertarian Tea Party movement for being a communist. He is slated by the leaders of corporate America for his supposedly"anti-business" policies. Everywhere, there seems to be anger and disillusion. The contrast with the mood of optimism and hope when Mr Obama was elected two years ago is remarkable. And the expectation is that these currents of national discontent will mean heavy losses for the Democrats in today's midterm congressional elections.... - Independent UK, 11-2-10
  • Julian E. Zelizer: It's Tea Party vs. Bush and Obama: Former President George W. Bush loomed large throughout the 2010 campaign even though he has been out of office for nearly two years.
    The upcoming publication of Bush's memoirs,"Decision Points," offers us an opportunity to consider the relationship between the former commander-in-chief and the Tea Party activists who played such a major role in energizing the GOP this summer and fall. While the Tea Party attacks on President Obama and his policies were front and center, their anger was also directed toward the nature of Republican politics in the age of Bush.
    The Tea Party movement has opened up a civil war within the Republican Party. Recently these tensions exploded when Bush's top political adviser, Karl Rove, said the Tea Party was not very"sophisticated." Former Arkansas governor and presidential candidate Mike Huckabee called Rove an"elitist" and said that"unfortunately, there is an elitism within the Republican establishment. And it's one of the reasons the Republicans have not been able to solidify not only the Tea Party movement but solidify conservatives across America."...
    Now that the election campaign is just about over, the party's leaders will have to reconcile the tensions between where the party had been under George W. Bush and where Tea Party leaders would like to see it heading. The impact of the movement on the GOP will create intense pressure on elected officials to listen to what the activists have been demanding if they want their support in 2012.
    The question will be whether Tea Party activists will decide that the GOP is just no longer a home for them and if other Republicans, like former President Bush, will be left wondering what has become of their party. - CNN, 11-1-10
  • GERALD F. SEIB: Lessons of Reagan's Rebound: As they lick their wounds during what figures to be a tough election night Tuesday, Democrats might want to reflect on the 1982 experience of President Ronald Reagan and take away some lessons from it.... - WSJ, 11-1-10
  • DOROTHY RABINOWITZ: Why Obama Is No Roosevelt: Roosevelt: 'Your government has unmistakable confidence in your ability to hear the worst without flinching and losing heart.' Obama: We don't 'always think clearly when we're scared.'
    Whatever the outcome of today's election, this much is clear: It will be a long time before Americans ever again decide that the leadership of the nation should go to a legislator of negligible experience—with a voting record, as state and U.S. senator, consisting largely of"present," and an election platform based on glowing promises of transcendence. A platform vowing, unforgettably, to restore us—a country lost to arrogance and crimes against humanity—to a place of respect in the world.
    We would win back our allies who, so far as we knew, hadn't been lost anywhere. Though once Mr. Obama was elected and began dissing them with returned Churchill busts and airy claims of ignorance about the existence of any special relationship between the United States and Great Britain, the British, at least, have been feeling less like pals of old.
    In the nearly 24 months since Mr. Obama's election, popular enthusiasm for him has gone the way of his famous speeches—lyrical, inspired and unburdened by the weight of concrete thought.... - WSJ, 11-1-10
  • Julian Zelizer: Obama and Democrats brace for possible Republican wave: "It's an election in which conservatives gain enough power in Congress -- even if they don't control it -- to block liberal legislation," said Julian Zelizer, a congressional historian at Princeton University."They're usually some kind of response or backlash to a president who has put forth a big agenda."... - USA Today, 10-31-10
  • 5 questions for 5 analysts: What will happen Election Day, what it means: Jennifer Duffy, senior editor of the Cook Political Report: The level of voter anger and the increased level of incivility really stand out to me. I've never heard a candidate for statewide office tell the president to"shove it," as Rhode Island Democrat Frank Caprio did, or another candidate say that if elected he hopes for headlines that read"Gov. LePage tells Obama to go to Hell."

    Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia: This is the first initial midterm of a Democratic president in 16 years. Oddly, Obama's first midterm election is looking a lot like Bill Clinton's first midterm in 1994. Democratic presidents are starting to have real problems early in their terms — although a sample of two is very, very small.
    Linda Fowler, professor of government at Dartmouth College: The economy. We haven't had unemployment rates this high since 1982. Every forecasting model that any political scientist has ever run indicates that when you have an economy running this badly, the party that the president controls gets punished pretty heavily.
    Earl Black, co-author of"America Divided" and a political scientist at Rice University in Houston: This is the first election really since Lyndon Johnson's Great Society where we've had a very liberal Democratic president move to enact a highly ambitious program, health care being the most obvious, and to do this in the face of national public opinion that was opposed to the bill. This has created a lot of opposition.
    Bill Whalen, research fellow at the Hoover Institution and a GOP media consultant: That would be the"wave" dynamic seemingly working to the Republicans' advantage for the first time in 16 years and President Clinton's first midterm test. ... (T)his is the first time the GOP is looking at landmark congressional gains (plus gaining a majority advantage among governorships) since Newt Gingrich and the Contract With America.... - Yahoo News, 10-31-10
  • Obama Tries To Rally Democrats In Final Days Before Election: In the final days before Tuesday's (Nov. 2) congressional elections, President Barack Obama is making one last campaign swing, in hopes of persuading more of his fellow Democrats to vote. With public opinion polls predicting big losses for his Democratic Party, President Obama is on the road once more, trying to limit the damage.
    Young voters were a big part of Mr. Obama's surge to the presidency in 2008, so he went to a university in Philadelphia on Saturday and urged students to campaign for Democratic candidates."Coming to a rally, that is not the hard part. What I need this weekend is 20,000 doors knocked on by all the volunteers who are here today," he said. Public opinion surveys predict that Republicans will easily win at least the 39 seats they need to take control of the House of Representatives, and probably more. There is a lesser chance that Republicans could also take over the Senate.... - VOA, 10-30-10
  • Can Sarah Palin Save Joe Miller?: Republican Joe Miller has seemingly lost his momentum in Alaska's Senate race, going from rebel insurgent during the primary to hapless blunderer the week before the general. Miller has been slammed by a series of revelations about his background, from his family's reliance on the federal benefits he criticizes to political indiscretions-- and resulting disciplinary action--while he was working as an attorney for the state. His campaign has responded with defensive and somewhat thuggish behavior, including handcuffing a journalist who tried to question Miller at a public event.
    Though Alaska is a difficult state to poll accurately, the most recent survey from the state showed Miller trailing significantly behind write-in Republican Lisa Murkowski, who received 34 percent (the poll presented"write-in candidate" as an option rather than using Murkowski's name), and Democrat Scott McAdams, who received 29 percent. Miller's percentage had slipped from 31 at the beginning of the month to just 23 when the poll was released yesterday.
    Miller, then, is looking for a resurgence. He may have sparked one in a rally last night headlined by Sarah Palin, though it's too early to judge whether the gathering will significantly energize the last days of his campaign. Palin and Miller have had a complicated background of late--at least as far as the media is aware--and she has been slow to throw her full weight into this race... - The Atlantic, 10-29-10
  • Gil Troy: Israel is peripheral in the US elections – fortunately: Although Americans glided smoothly to the 2008 presidential election, with most increasingly giddy at the prospect of Barack Obama’s historic victory, they are stumbling haphazardly toward the 2010 congressional midterms, with most increasingly cranky. Pollsters predict that on November 2, Barack Obama will suffer a major defeat. Gone is the faith that this mortal can solve America’s problems. Gone is most of the hope that galvanized millions. Gone is the sky-high popularity rating that had Republicans and comedians wondering in January 2009, “how are we ever going to criticize, let alone laugh, at this guy.” Gone is the “yes we can” optimism, as many Americans take a “no we can’t” approach. And gone may be the power President Obama drew from his Democratic congressional majority.... - JPost, 10-27-10



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