To the amazement of many, Bush is championing the boondoggle known as NASA in a bid both to set up permanent human digs on the moon and to reach Mars. At the same time he shows no interest in privatizing space and exploration despite private entrepreneurs almost begging to do so at their own expense. Conspiracy theories abound. Wired claims that Bush's proposal is actually a plot to kill off NASA projects. Others speculate whether the timing of the Bush announcement, coming shortly after a successful Chinese space mission and shortly before a U.S. election, is a coincidence.

The most plausible explanation I've heard comes from my friend Gordon Pusch who pointed out that Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld seems to have bought into what has been called the "Vision for 2020" -- a space age "Project for the New American Century" -- that calls for U.S. military superiority (and exclusivity) in space. This goal requires (and does not yet have) a"heavy lift" capability into space: launchers that could put massive payloads into orbit. (The Shuttle won't lift enough payload, and can't launch frequently enough.) A few billion won't get very far along the road to Mars, but it will pay for launcher development. And, as it happens, heavy launchers would be the first thing needed by the Moon/Mars program. Moon/Mars is a lovely" civilian" cover to develop these heavy lifters, which otherwise can't be justified -- weather and communications satellites need only small launchers.

With heavy lifters, the U.S. could then deny the use of space to other nations. But to militarize and to enforce a monopoly, the development and operation would have to be under U.S. government control: thus, NASA.

Wendy McElroy.

Kevin Carson - 1/22/2004

The PNAC/space supremacy angle sound kind of like Ken MacLeod's "UN/US New World Order," enforced by lasers in orbit capable of vaporizing naval and ground forces on the surface. It certainly sounds like a plausible goal for that scary bunch.

But it would have the additional benefit of expanding military Keynesianism, even beyond current near-Cold War levels.

Just reflect on the original Cold War's effect on the economy. Already, during WWII, the total value of plant and equipment in the U.S. had been increased by 60%. In the 25 years afterward, government funding accounted for about 80% of electronics R&D and a majority of aerospace purchases, absorbed a major part of excess output from manufacturing, and created the computer industry and the early infrastructure for the worldwide web pretty much from scratch.

This is a way to put a few hundred billion $$ more into aerospace procurement, and a few ten billion $$ into high tech R&D.