Compromising Engineers and the Keystone XL Pipeline
tags: technology,engineering,Keystone XL Pipeline,Coopersmith,carbon tax
Jonathan Coopersmith teaches history at Texas A & M University.
Compromise may be a career-ending concept in politics, but
it is essential in engineering. Every
day engineers have to balance legitimate and conflicting interests. What makes a great engineer is not only the
ability to find the best balance but also to convince stakeholders of
the wisdom of that decision.
To illustrate this concept, look at this drawing from a 1951
issue of Railway Age (that in 1951 railroad passenger cars were a commercially
significant complex technology is itself another story). Each of the 13 images of an ideal car shows
the perspective of one group involved in the decision to design a car.
All of those perspectives are valid and important: Finance wants a car that makes money by
carrying as many passengers as possible, maintenance wants a car that can be
easily serviced, construction wants a car that is easy to build, and so
in. The challenge for engineers –
because they usually work in teams – is to create and manufacture a railroad
car that meets the conflicting needs and desires of all the stakeholders.
So why drag designing railroad cars in the 1950s into the
contemporary debate over the proposed 1179-mile Keystone XL pipeline from
Hardisty, Alberta to Steele City, Nebraska to carry oil extracted from Canadian
tar sands to American refineries?
Because Keystone XL has become political theater and fundraising fodder
to the detriment of the actual proposal and serious discussion about energy
policy. An object of intense political
posturing over the last few years, the pipeline has become a powerful symbol
pitting environmentalists against petroleum promoters.
There are significant environmental objections to the
pipeline: It will encourage further use
of oil and extracting oil from the Canadian tar sands demands a lot of energy
and produces high levels of carbon dioxide relative to the amount of oil
produced. Or, an as energy economist
would say, tar sands have a low energy return on energy invested compared with
drilling a well in Saudi Arabia.
The pipeline, however, will increase long-term American
geopolitical security by providing a major Canadian-American conduit for
oil. If built and maintained properly,
the Keystone XL pipeline will reduce the cost and increase the safety of
transporting Canadian oil: Pipelines are
much safer and less expensive than railroads as any resident of Boomer, West
Virginia, where 3 million gallons of oil in 109 tank cars derailed
in a flaming fury earlier this month, will testify.
As Christopher Jones demonstrated in Routes of
Power, a history of American energy infrastructure, successfully
building pipelines demanded political as well as financial and engineering
entrepreneurship. Keystone was not the
first nor will it be the last contested pipeline.
So what would a compromising engineer do? Or, in this case, what would the former
director of the United States Geological Survey and current editor-in-chief of
Science recommend? Marcia McNutt
suggested the federal government approve the Keystone pipeline in return for
the Canadian oil industry reducing its carbon emissions. The pipeline would be built but carbon
emissions would not grow or even shrink.
Currently, the Republican majorities in the House and Senate
passed a bill authorizing Keystone XL.
President Obama has just vetoed the bill. Everyone has stood up for their principles
and political base. Now, it is time for the
President and Congressional Democrats to build on Dr. McNutt’s proposal and
support the pipeline -- in exchange for Republican support of a carbon
tax.
This would be a grand compromise in the best engineering
tradition with major benefits for the United States, Canada and the
planet. Keystone advocates and
environmentalists will both win. The
former will get a productive, safe pipeline and the latter will gain a tool to
offset the carbon produced.
At its simplest a carbon tax taxes the amount of carbon a
fuel burns. The tax encourages
low-carbon or no-carbon fuels, like natural gas and renewables, over
high-carbon fuels like coal.
Economists like a carbon tax because it sends a clear price
signal to the market without distorting it like tax credits or subsidies. Furthermore, a carbon tax is easy to administer
and far less intrusive, regulatory and complicated than cap-and-trade
markets. It’s a simple free market
solution and far less bureaucratic than regulations.
For environmentalists, a carbon tax will ensure that the oil
sent by the pipeline will be carbon-neutral; that is, the tax will lower
overall fossil fuel consumption to offset the carbon dioxide generated by
producing the oil from the tar sands.
Texas A&M economics professor James Griffin
has proposed such a tax should start low and slowly but publicly increase over
time. The low initial cost means any
economic disruption will be small at first.
The gradual increase tells consumers – whether utilities or individuals
– that the price of their energy from coal, oil or natural gas will definitely
but slowly increase, giving them the certainty to plan ahead.
Like any compromise, the politics will be challenging. Republicans will have to accept the creation
of a new tax while Democrats will have to accept that oil will continue to be a
mainstay of the energy world for decades.
The only real loser will be the coal industry, which will be hardest
hit. Even then, a carbon tax will just
accelerate the long-term
trend of switching from coal to natural gas, wind, solar, nuclear
and other more environmentally friendly and increasingly less expensive
fuels.
Trading a carbon tax for the Keystone XL pipeline is good
energy policy. Whether Democratic and
Republican political leaders will seize the opportunity is another issue. If they do, somewhere a passenger car
designer will be smiling at the elegance of the compromise.