Would a late-comer have a chance to win in 2016?Breaking News
tags: election 2016
The possibility of serving up a third-party conservative candidate as an alternative to likely GOP nominee Donald Trump in November’s U.S. presidential election has been bandied about in the media and behind closed establishment doors with growing frequency. And while party leaders such as Republican National Committee chairman Reince Priebus have dismissed such a move as both too late and too likely to hurt Republicans in November, others believe, as conservative radio host Erick Erickson told Fox News, that it should remain a “final fall-back option” to stop Trump.
With the filing deadlines for most states coming up this summer (Texas’s is the earliest, on May 9), there is a closing window of opportunity to pursue such a nuclear action or for an independent candidate (not named Michael Bloomberg) to enter the race. Trump himself has called such a gambit “stupid,” arguing on ABC’s This Week that the “Republicans wouldn’t even have 1 percent of a chance of winning.” And, if history is any indication, Trump is right: A late-entry presidential candidate is virtually assured of defeat.
In 1912, the indomitable former president Teddy Roosevelt managed to mount a credible independent campaign as late as June after persuading progressive Republicans to bolt from the GOP convention in order to challenge the sitting president and GOP nominee, William Howard Taft. Roosevelt told reporters he felt like a bull moose, giving rise to the short-lived Progressive (Bull Moose) Party, although the primary effect of Roosevelt’s late bid was ensuring that Democrat Woodrow Wilson was elected president.
It’s hard to imagine a former party heavyweight today, like Mitt Romney, having the gumption to go bull moose on his party’s nominee; besides, the extended primary election season that has developed pretty much precludes such a phenomenon. Still, even in the past half century, such challenges didn’t prevent several stop-the-front-runner candidates from throwing their hats into a ring that, for all intents and purposes, had already closed.
comments powered by Disqus
- Did Squanto meet Pocahontas in London?
- Thanksgiving: Early Colonists Ate Turkey... But Also Horses, Rats And Snakes, Archaeologists Say
- Sources: McMaster Mocked Trump’s Intelligence at a Private Dinner
- The JFK assassination files lead back to Seattle
- Princeton investigates its connection to slavery at a two-day symposium
- OAH historians say events of the past year show they were right to emphasize freedom as the theme of the 2019 annual convention
- Why being a historian is about so much more than producing displays for museums
- Historian Says Textbooks Have Shaped Our Attitudes On Race
- Heather Ann Thompson says what went on at Attica is worse than we thought
- Princeton’s Jan T. Gross warns that Poland’s showing signs of turning decisively in a fascist direction